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BGP Origin-AS Diversion Report

Generated: 2026-07-05T02:15:55.088146+00:00 Latest BGP snapshot: 2026-07-03

Scope

Detects origin-AS hijacks only โ€” cases where a Russian/sanctioned ASN announces (as origin) a prefix that RIPE/etc allocated to a European entity. Does NOT detect transit-path manipulation; that requires full AS_PATH from MRT RIBs.

Known false-positive class

Each finding compares the parent RIR allocation country against the origin ASN country. RIPE-allocated blocks are routinely sub-assigned by European LIRs to Russian commercial customers (Virty.io, Selectel, etc.). Those sub-assignments are perfectly legal and announced by Russian ASNs โ€” but they show up here as EU prefix โ†’ RU ASN. Before treating any individual finding as a diversion event, verify with RIPE WHOIS on the specific block (whois <prefix> โ†’ look for the most-specific inetnum and its country:/org:) and ideally an RPKI ROA check.

Track A v2 TODO: integrate RIPE IRR route: objects and RPKI VRP feed to automatically downgrade RPKI-valid / IRR-authorized announcements.

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Basis and limitations. Findings in this brief are derived from public records โ€” kad.arbitr.ru arbitration filings, EGRUL registry extracts, zakupki.gov.ru procurement contracts, and official sanctions lists โ€” and from algorithmic scoring described in the methodology. Scores are triage outputs, not legal determinations. Court co-litigation measures litigation frequency with listed parties, not culpability; procurement links may reflect arm's-length commerce. Named entities may dispute factual errors via derek.linz@linzalytics.com (subject "Dispute request"); the review process and timelines are on the methodology page, and material corrections are logged at /intel/corrections.html with dates.