Longer-form analysis on Russia sanctions developments, designation packages, and evasion patterns —
written when the data warrants it. Subscribe via RSS.
- VZPP-S Voronezh — a supplier nexus to 58 sanctioned defence entities
2026-06-25
On 22 June 2026, Ukraine struck the Voronezh Semiconductor Device Plant. The reporting covered what it feeds — components for the Kh-101 cruise missile, the…
- EU 21st Package (Proposed): Shadow-Fleet Support Vessels, 31 More Banks, Third-Country Crypto, and a First for Fisheries
2026-06-16
On 9 June 2026 the European Commission proposed the EU's 21st Russia sanctions package — not yet adopted, and requiring unanimous Council approval. It pauses the oil price-cap adjustment, expands transaction bans to 31 more Russian banks and 20 third-country entities, targets shadow-fleet support and bunkering vessels for the first time, opens the door to a full crypto-services ban on third countries, and adds fisheries. A procurement-lens read of what is proposed and what we are watching.
- Backtesting the watchlist: do our signals actually anticipate designations?
2026-06-15
How we test whether our relationship signals would have flagged sanctioned entities before they were designated — point-in-time, measuring recall and lead time, not precision.
- The forward watchlist: pointing a validated method at who isn't sanctioned yet
2026-06-15
The forward-looking companion to the backtest — currently-unsanctioned entities tied to sanctioned parties through the same link types the backtest validates, qualified and ranked into a triage queue.
- Jurisdiction Laundering at the BGP / WHOIS / DNS Layer
2026-05-22
Russian-operator infrastructure on European-allocated, European-announced address space — what compliance teams don't see, why, and what the live-traffic layer…
- RETN (AS9002) Prefix Audit
2026-05-22
An audit of all 78 IPv4 prefixes originated by RETN (AS9002) on 2026-05-13 found that only 3 are registered under the RU country flag in RIPE, while 53 are…
- EU 20th Package: Yamal LNG Condensate, 20 Banks, and the First Circumvention Jurisdiction
2026-04-27
The EU's 20th Russia sanctions package — adopted 23 April 2026 — closes the condensate loophole at Yamal LNG, adds 20 Russian banks to the transaction ban, designates 46 shadow fleet vessels, and names Kyrgyzstan as the first jurisdiction under the anti-circumvention tool. Here is what it means for procurement-linked exposure.
- Launching the Linzalytics sanctions-intelligence journal
2026-04-21
Why we're publishing a running log alongside the static brief library — and what to expect from it.
- EU 19th Package: LNG Import Ban, Rosneft/Gazprom Neft Exemptions Closed, and the First Chinese Refinery Listings
2025-10-24
The EU's 19th Russia sanctions package — adopted 23 October 2025 — delivers the long-anticipated LNG import ban, strips Rosneft and Gazprom Neft of commodity exemptions, adds 117 shadow fleet vessels, and lists Chinese refineries for the first time. Here is a procurement-lens analysis of the designations and what they mean for supply chain screening.