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Strike-target watchlist

Sanctioned EO-14024 defense suppliers, reachable geography, ranked by sanctioned-buyer breadth โ€” the un-struck candidates most resembling the plants already hit. Generated 2026-06-26T02:20:53+00:00.

Screening pool, not a pinpoint predictor. Buyer counts are raw upper bounds (rank-order only). Use it to pre-stage briefs so a strike on any of these publishes at zero latency.

Validation โ€” where the already-struck plants sit in this same ranking

Plant Rank of Percentile
Votkinsk Machine Building Plant 38 740 top 5.1%
VZPP-S semiconductor 214 740 top 28.9%
Kremniy EL microelectronics 253 740 top 34.2%
VNIIR-Progress (Kometa antennas) 342 740 top 46.2%

Struck plants average ~top 28.6% of the 740 candidates โ€” concentrated toward the top, but spread enough that this narrows the field rather than naming the next target.

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Basis and limitations. Findings in this brief are derived from public records โ€” kad.arbitr.ru arbitration filings, EGRUL registry extracts, zakupki.gov.ru procurement contracts, and official sanctions lists โ€” and from algorithmic scoring described in the methodology. Scores are triage outputs, not legal determinations. Court co-litigation measures litigation frequency with listed parties, not culpability; procurement links may reflect arm's-length commerce. Named entities may dispute factual errors via derek.linz@linzalytics.com (subject "Dispute request"); the review process and timelines are on the methodology page, and material corrections are logged at /intel/corrections.html with dates.